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OPEC to shun increase as US slows - president

Tue 26 Feb 2008, 13:13 GMT
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By Randy Fabi

ABUJA (Reuters) - A combination of economic slowdown in the United States and a seasonal fall in consumption will hit oil demand and OPEC will not increase output when it meets next week, the producer group's president said on Tuesday.

"I can tell you they are not going to increase production because there are plenty of stocks," OPEC President Chakib Khelil told Reuters in the Nigerian capital Abuja.

"Gasoline stocks are high, then we have a second quarter reduction in demand and with the economic situation in the U.S., probably a recession, demand will definitely fall, maybe not by much."

During a visit to Moscow earlier this month, Khelil told Reuters the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) would decide either to keep production steady or lower output when it meets on March 5 in Vienna.

With oil prices close to $100 a barrel, OPEC will be under pressure to refrain from a formal cut.

But the group, which is producing above its agreed output target, could still reduce the amount of oil it supplies to customers.

Oil demand typically eases in the second quarter following the end of the northern hemisphere winter and refiners often take advantage of the drop in consumption to carry out maintenance.

Khelil said world oil demand fell by around 2 million barrels per day (bpd) on average in the second quarter.

Adding to comment from other ministers and oil executives, he said that if refiners asked for less crude from April onwards, OPEC would supply less.

"If we are not able to sell our crude, then definitely we are not going to supply more," Khelil, who is also Algeria's energy and mines minister, said on the sidelines of a gas conference in Abuja.

Khelil said Algeria was producing around 1.4 million bpd, slightly above its target of 1.357 million bpd.

U.S. oil prices hit a record of $101.32 a barrel last week and were trading at around $99 a barrel on Tuesday.

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